In this short exercise in intuitive futurology, Jean Saint-Geours highlights three basic trends in global change.
The first relates to the phenomenon of globalization that is especially obvious in the spheres of the environment, finance and economics. In view of their growing interdependence, the author also stresses the systemic risks involved and, consequently, the need for further regulation.
Alongside these aspects, he argues that the spirit of competition and conquest that “encourages initiative, effort and invention”, should be accompanied by new collective demands for greater cooperation and control.
Finally, insofar as globalization carries with it a risk of homogenization, it is hardly surprising that there should be a revival of particularisms (such as insistence on religious or cultural identities) which in turn will require moves towards a new trade-off between globalization and diversity.
Mondialisation et particularismes
Cet article fait partie de la revue Futuribles n° 248, déc. 1999